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ARAşTıRMA · İSTATISTIKSEL ÖğRENME arXiv:2610.13916 9 Eki 2026 · v1

Markov Chain Convergence in Kernel-Induced Geometry

Oleksii Kachaiev, Luc Brogat-Motte, Silvia Villa, Lorenzo Rosasco

YAYIN:9 Eki 2026 ALAN:math.PR OKUMA:12

Özet

We study the convergence of Markov chains in the geometry induced by Hilbertian embeddings associated with positive definite kernels, also called Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD). Under a contraction assumption in the kernel-induced geometry, and a standard spectral gap assumption, we establish non-asymptotic, high-probability bounds for the convergence of the empirical occupation measure to the invariant measure. The obtained bounds separate the roles of the two conditions: the spectral gap determines the effective sample size in the leading term, while the kernel contraction enters only through a linear correction. As an application, we study one-step prediction of dynamical systems from a single trajectory, deriving fast learning rates for a nonlinear least-squares estimator. The rates highlight the interplay between mixing properties in the kernel-induced geometry and the classical source and capacity conditions used in the analysis of least-squares.

Özetle: We study the convergence of Markov chains in the geometry induced by Hilbertian embeddings associated with positive definite kernels, also called Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD).

Özet

We study the convergence of Markov chains in the geometry induced by Hilbertian embeddings associated with positive definite kernels, also called Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD). Under a contraction assumption in the kernel-induced geometry, and a standard spectral gap assumption, we establish non-asymptotic, high-probability bounds for the convergence of the empirical occupation measure to the invariant measure. The obtained bounds separate the roles of the two conditions: the spectral gap determines the effective sample size in the leading term, while the kernel contraction enters only through a linear correction. As an application, we study one-step prediction of dynamical systems from a single trajectory, deriving fast learning rates for a nonlinear least-squares estimator. The rates highlight the interplay between mixing properties in the kernel-induced geometry and the classical source and capacity conditions used in the analysis of least-squares.

Orijinal Özet (İngilizce)

We study the convergence of Markov chains in the geometry induced by Hilbertian embeddings associated with positive definite kernels, also called Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD). Under a contraction assumption in the kernel-induced geometry, and a standard spectral gap assumption, we establish non-asymptotic, high-probability bounds for the convergence of the empirical occupation measure to the invariant measure. The obtained bounds separate the roles of the two conditions: the spectral gap determines the effective sample size in the leading term, while the kernel contraction enters only through a linear correction. As an application, we study one-step prediction of dynamical systems from a single trajectory, deriving fast learning rates for a nonlinear least-squares estimator. The rates highlight the interplay between mixing properties in the kernel-induced geometry and the classical source and capacity conditions used in the analysis of least-squares.

Kaynak: arXiv:2610.13916 · PDF

BibTeX

@article{kachaiev2026markov,
  title   = {Markov Chain Convergence in Kernel-Induced Geometry},
  author  = {Oleksii Kachaiev and Luc Brogat-Motte and Silvia Villa and Lorenzo Rosasco},
  journal = {arXiv preprint arXiv:2610.13916},
  year    = {2026},
  url     = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.13916}
}

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